We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country. Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win. Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments. Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below! ABC News has projected that Trump will carry Georgia and its 16 electoral votes. In 2020, Georgia was the closest state in the country, going for Biden by just 0.24 points. This time around, with 97 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 2.3 points over Harris, 50.7% to 48.4%. The Georgia win puts Trump at 246 electoral votes, with just 24 more needed to win. With ABC News' projection that Republican businessman Bernie Moreno will win Ohio's Senate seat, a flip for the GOP, the Democrats have lost any real chance at keeping control of the chamber. While they started the night holding 51 seats (including the independents who caucus with them), Democrats can hope now to win at most 50 — tying the Republicans in an environment where Trump is overwhelmingly likely to be the next president (and thus, JD Vance will supply Republicans the tie-breaking vote in the Senate). But things could get even worse for Democrats. Montana's incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester currently trails Republican opponent Tim Sheehy by 20 points in Montana, though just 16 percent of the vote is in. If the votes there go the way they are going in other red-state Senate seats, Tester doesn't stand a chance. And Republicans currently lead the Senate races in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. If you were waiting up to see who would win the Senate ... go to bed. Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright had managed to hold onto a GOP-leaning seat for three cycles, but his ability to win enough conservative voters to hold the seat appears to have run its course. ABC News has projected that Republican Robert Bresnahan will defeat Cartwright, making it a GOP pickup. The win is part of a stronger GOP showing in northeast Pennsylvania, which is part of the broader Democratic weakness in Pennsylvania that has put Harris in a trailing position.

I’ll leave the more in-depth analysis of what went wrong with the campaign to the experts, but at a basic level, she fell short of her benchmarks across much of the state and suffered from deep-blue Philadelphia County making up a smaller portion of the statewide vote than in 2020.